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Nota n°50698 da huslbz6971 il 09/09/2013 @ 19:14
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Nota n°50697 da fppygi6025 il 09/09/2013 @ 19:14
Don?t make promises you can?t keep. Wise parents tell small children that, and wary lovers use that command as a taunt. But in the world of finance,Nikon, unrealistic promises are the norm, and they are too often broken. Depositors in the banks of Cyprus may be learning that lesson.True, the government of the Mediterranean island may retreat from its first plan, and in any case the accounts are to be taxed, not written down, so the terms of the deposit insurance will be technically kept. And strictly speaking, deposit guarantees are not being breached in the United States and other countries with an inflation rate higher than the interest rate paid on savings accounts,ChristianBonheur, even though that inflation-tax steadily erodes the accounts? real value. But in fact, governments – both small and suspect like Cyprus, and large and respectable like the United States – have failed the lovers? test. They have made promises to savers which they either cannot or will not keep.These trust-breaking governments can resort to the errant lover?s usual excuse: we could not have known what the future would bring. Just as bitter experience somehow invalidates a promise of undying love,???? ??, an impossible-to-predict avalanche of bad loans might erase the obligations of Cypriot banks and the equally unpredictable financial crisis could exculpate monetary authorities in the United States and elsewhere. Such events, they can say, are like the acts of God which invalidate insurance policies.Lovers? quarrels are a delicate matter,HAMILTON, but it is not hard to judge the promises made by the Cypriot government. It should have known better. There was nothing like the financial equivalent of an asteroid collision. The authorities could either have kept the banks from expanding wildly without sufficient buffers against losses, or they could have refused to issue an unaffordable guarantee.States which use inflation and low interest rates to break their promises may be more suave about their promise-breaking, but they are also guilty of a breach of faith. They obey the letter, but violate the spirit of their commitments.Thoughtful defenders of guarantees argue that virtuous intentions justify falsehood. Modern economies rely on credit,?????? ???????????? ????`???å?, credit relies on trust, and the economy suffers if mistrustful savers refuse to lend. Besides, disingenuous savings guarantees are hardly an anomaly in the financial system. On the contrary, loans,?????, the standard financial instrument,JHARRISON, rely on a similar ethical legerdemain. Promises of future payments are never certain and are often made lightly,??? ?????, for example by junk-rated corporations or by mortgagees before the U.S. housing crisis.Even though both lenders and borrowers theoretically know roughly how little the promises are worth, strong words,ADIDAS, like lovers? oaths, can be dangerously beguiling. If financial commitments receive too much credence, lenders can sell off their loans at too high a price and borrowers can get away with implausible commitments.When the truth is finally revealed, financial institutions or entire financial systems may fail – it has happened in the United States, Japan, the UK and several member states of the euro zone within the last generation. The damage from revealing the initial deceit is ultimately greater than the pain of telling the truth in the first place.What should be done?First, educate people about the nature of banking. The public is generally unaware that banks take risks with their money. There is a widespread belief that it is right and just to guarantee the value of all deposits. It is actually impossible and dangerous. If more people understood that there is no way to make the future certain, they would be less prone to panic at bad news, and the financial system could be made to conform more closely to economic reality.Second, make fewer financial promises. Guarantees may bring savings out from under the mattress, but dishonesty is ultimately self-destructive. Every debt promise which is broken – either directly by not paying out or indirectly through inflation – makes the financial system more untrustworthy. The poor may deserve some protection – perhaps a guarantee for the real value of the first few thousand dollars or euros of savings – but everyone else should have to take more chances.Finally, phase out conventional debt. The apparent certainty of loans with fixed terms and fixed nominal interest is misleading, even false,???? ?????, since unpredictable and varying rates of inflation and GDP growth ensure that their true value is uncertain. Such loans should mostly be replaced by common shares, which conform better to economic reality. Of course, governments cannot issue shares, but their debts can be made more like equity, linked to inflation and GDP growth.The world has still not recovered from the 2008 financial crisis, in large part because

Nota n°50696 da fppygi6025 il 09/09/2013 @ 19:13
The conventional wisdom is that Japan has never really recovered from the bursting of the stock market and real estate bubbles in 1990,VenDome. That view is basically wrong.Sure,MARC BY MARC JACOBS, prices have never recovered. The stock market is still almost 75 percent below its peak and land prices are down 60 percent. After two decades of nearly stable consumer prices,????, the Japanese government is once again badgering the central bank to do something to create a bit of inflation.This appeal, like so many before it,SEIKO, is likely to end inconclusively. Japan will continue with its longstanding pattern of near-stable prices, slow growth and gargantuan government deficits. But the economy is basically in pretty good shape.Sure,SECTOR, an annual GDP growth rate of 1 percent since 1990 sounds unimpressive. But the number of people below retirement age has been shrinking by 0.4 percent a year. Annual growth in U.S. per capita GDP over the same period was 1.4 percent – not much different from Japan.Other economic indicators suggest Japan is managing pretty well. Even in mid-recession,?????? ???, car sales are only 20 percent less than at the 1990 peak. Housing starts are down 50 percent,Coach ???, but the population was rising then and is declining now. The 5 percent unemployment rate is modest by Western standards. And the 1.4 percent yield on the 10-year government bond hardly sounds like a vote of no confidence in the government or the country.The country’s financial burden — gross government debt at 200 percent of GDP — could yet prove too much to bear for a rapidly aging and steadily declining Japanese population. But for now,DUNK, Japan should be more a sign of hope than gloom for the United States,SIGMA, UK and euro zone countries that have endured a severe financial collapse.However, Japan had advantages in dealing with a financial collapse. It has a high savings rate,???????????? ???? ???`??, a big trade surplus and a powerful tradition of cultural and political unity. Few Western countries have all of these. Most also face almost Japanese-style demographic challenges. They will be fortunate to do as well as Japan.Related-articles: Lauteure du Christ défiguré v 2013 mai Les 8 Plumes Selena Gomez, parcours sans faute dune star préco abf9cf2b6db1f68d8e4a1bade742f4bb

Nota n°50695 da ysgsyndiaz il 09/09/2013 @ 19:13
More research was published today showing that the honeymoon is over for American hedge fund managers and technology giant Apple. The iPhone maker was one of the top two most sold stocks by hedge funds in the fourth quarter, according to an analysis of regulatory filings?by Bank of America. (The other stock was??Tyco International).This industry-wide ditching of Apple came as??as hedge fund land’s most loved top-10 stock holding in Q4. It was the first time Apple had been knocked out of pole position in three years. For a list of some of the big names that ditched Apple,.Meanwhile, BofA analysts found that the top two stocks purchased by hedge funds in the three months to December were ?Facebook and Citigroup. The AIG and Citi buys were part of a larger move into financials by hedge funds in the fourth quarter,??? ???, the BofA Hedge Fund Monitor report showed,??? ???, and away from technology companies.According to the report:Discretionary became the most favored sector in 4Q??12 ?? as hedge funds continued to switch from Tech into Financials,SECTOR. ,Panasonic?Hedge funds increased weight in six out of 10 sectors, led by Financials and ?Energy, by 2.7% and 1.0%,FOSSIL, respectively. Weight in Technology and Healthcare decreased the most…Hedge funds aggressively bought Financials to 18.1% of portfolios by the end of?4Q12, the highest since our record started in 2005; dollar value was $76bn in?4Q12 compared to $58bn in 3Q12. The interest in Financials was concentrated in?Insurance and Diversified Financials Services.However,MONTRES, among the so-called ‘mega-funds ‘- the 150 largest hedge funds – tech stocks are still favored over financials. ?And looking at the entire hedge fund industry,?????? ??????, ?regardless of the size of the position, Apple was still the most widely held stock by managers at the end of 2012,???????????? ??????????å?, followed by AIG, then Google,Salvatore Marra, then Citi.But among the top 20 stock holdings of the 150 biggest hedge funds,???, AIG topped the list. It was followed by Google, then Citi. Apple didn’t make it onto the podium – it placed 4th.Related-articles: Ackmans Pershing Square lost 2.2 percent in 2012 October Lawrence Summe MarcSerrand - LEXPRESS abf9cf2b6db1f68d8e4a1bade742f4bb

Nota n°50694 da zghju1ogch il 09/09/2013 @ 19:13
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